
Next Claude Opus released by...?
The market resolves based on the date the next version of Claude Opus is released.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 17 | 4% | −88¢ | 5.7¢ | |
| September 30 | 81% | −8¢ | 82¢ | |
| September 20 | 12% | −39¢ | 12¢ | |
| September 24 | 66% | — | 73¢ | |
| September 27 | 82% | — | 85¢ | |
| October 31 | 98% | — | 99¢ | |
| December 31 | 98% | — | 99.4¢ |
September 17
4%
−88¢Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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