Skip to content

Topic

ai

40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $182.3K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026?ClaudeTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202670%+1¢Kalshi69.8¢$44.2K
DeepSeek market share this weekAbove 26.3%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 202626%+5¢Kalshi26¢$14.6K
OpenAI market share this weekAbove 20.8%Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 20268%−16¢Kalshi$12.6K
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202672%Polymarket72¢$9.9K
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20Above 146T tokensTech & ScienceEnds Sep 20, 20262%−17¢Kalshi$9.6K
Next Claude Opus released by...?September 17Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 17, 20264%−89¢Polymarket5.8¢$8.7K
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202676%+2¢Polymarket76¢$8.6K
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?September 30, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202618%+3¢Polymarket18¢$7K
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?AlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202687%−2¢Polymarket89¢$6.1K
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?↑ 1520Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 2026>99%$4.9K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202614%−3¢Polymarket15¢$3.9K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$1.25TEconomicsEnds Jan 1, 202746%+18¢Polymarket47¢$3.8K
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202657%Polymarket58¢$3.4K
Which company has the best AI model end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202689%Polymarket89¢$3.3K
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 20263%−12¢Polymarket$3.3K
When will Anthropic release Mythos?Before Jan 1, 2027Tech & ScienceEnds Jul 31, 20267%Kalshi$2.9K
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202673%Polymarket75¢$2.8K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 30, 202618%−2¢Polymarket18¢$2.7K
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?GoogleTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202632%Polymarket32¢$2.5K
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21stAlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Sep 28, 202689%Kalshi91¢$2.5K
Best AI model on September 21?claude-fable-5.1-maxTech & ScienceEnds Sep 21, 202691%+14¢Polymarket91¢$2.5K
AI capability growth this year?At least 1520 scoreTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 202755%−6¢Kalshi57¢$2K
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?1500+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202666%Polymarket67¢$2K
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202696%Polymarket97.5¢$1.9K
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?OpenAITech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202672%Polymarket73.4¢$1.6K
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Hadwiger-Nelson ProblemTech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202620%Polymarket21¢$1.5K
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?50%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202645%Polymarket45¢$1.4K
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?MoonshotTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202640%Polymarket40¢$1.3K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?↑$1.125TEconomicsEnds Oct 1, 20263%Polymarket3.5¢$1.2K
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?AlibabaTech & ScienceEnds Jan 1, 20276%Kalshi$1.2K
Next Gemini Pro model releaseBefore Nov 1, 2026Tech & ScienceEnds Aug 31, 202676%Kalshi78¢$1.1K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?55%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202634%Polymarket35¢$1.1K
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Z.aiTech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 202670%Polymarket71¢$899
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202654%Polymarket54.5¢$890
What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?TrumpCultureEnds Oct 31, 202617%Kalshi30¢$810
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?55%+Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202619%Polymarket19¢$800
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?AnthropicTech & ScienceEnds Oct 31, 202672%Polymarket74¢$773
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?September 30Tech & ScienceEnds Sep 30, 20266%Polymarket$723
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?EconomicsEnds Jan 1, 202791%Polymarket92¢$713
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?#3Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202626%Polymarket26¢$693