Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

The market resolves based on the performance of the next Claude Opus model on Humanity's Last Exam.

Polymarket$863 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
55%+	19%	—	21¢
50%+	91%	—	92¢
60%+	3%	—	4.8¢
45%+	96%	—	97.9¢

19%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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