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PolymarketPolymarket· AI · Tech · Claude · Anthropic

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

Chance

19%

Buy Yes

21¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

83¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 27 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoSold No at 81¢$5
  • 8 hours agoSold No at 81¢$21
  • 8 hours agoSold No at 81¢$86
  • 15 hours agoSold Yes at 20.5¢$20
  • 20 hours agoSold Yes at 22¢$11
  • 22 hours agoSold Yes at 24¢$8
  • 22 hours agoBought No at 76¢$24
  • 23 hours agoBought No at 75¢$1
  • 23 hours agoBought No at 63.6¢$602
  • 23 hours agoBought No at 75¢$5