Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
The market resolves based on whether the U.S. government confirms the existence of aliens by a specified date.
Kalshi$31.5K traded 24hEnds Aug 1, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 5% | −1¢ | 5.4¢ | |
| Before 2028 | 13% | −2¢ | 13¢ | |
| Before November | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 22% | — | 22¢ | |
| Before December | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Before October | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Before August | — | — | — | |
| Before September | — | — | — |
Before 2027
5%
−1¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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