
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
The market resolves based on whether the Clay Mathematics Institute declares a Millennium Prize Problem solved by a specific date.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 4% | −1¢ | 3.8¢ | |
| December 31, 2028 | 30% | — | 30¢ | |
| December 31, 2027 | 13% | — | 13¢ |
December 31, 2026
4%
−1¢Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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