
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
The market resolves based on what Donald Trump will say during the United Nations General Assembly.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 7% | +1¢ | 7¢ | |
| Democrat | 60% | +39¢ | 63¢ | |
| Windmill | 39% | — | 41¢ | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| America First | 32% | — | 32¢ | |
| Nobel | 24% | — | 25¢ | |
| Peace in the Middle East | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 17% | — | 17¢ | |
| Ceasefire | 27% | — | 29¢ | |
| Hottest | 69% | — | 69¢ | |
| Fentanyl | 45% | — | 47¢ | |
| Iran / Iranian | 92% | — | 93¢ | |
| Communist / Communism | 70% | — | 75¢ | |
| Ukraine (3+ times) | 19% | — | 21¢ | |
| Canada / Canadian | 70% | — | 70¢ | |
| Nuclear | 91% | — | 93¢ | |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 83% | — | 92¢ | |
| Gaza / Palestine | 77% | — | 79¢ | |
| Trump | 82% | — | 87¢ | |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 81% | — | 83¢ | |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 90% | — | 93¢ | |
| Tariff | 89% | — | 90¢ | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 80% | — | 80¢ | |
| Israel / Israeli | 78% | — | 81¢ | |
| Russia / Russian | 70% | — | 75¢ | |
| Stock Market | 80% | — | 83¢ | |
| First Term | 78% | — | 83¢ | |
| Venezuela | 85% | — | 86¢ | |
| China / Chinese | 85% | — | 88¢ |
Event does not qualify
7%
+1¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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