Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

The market resolves based on the average number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz at the end of September.

Polymarket$430 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
0-5	54%	—	55¢
5-10	39%	—	39¢
20-25	5%	—	7.2¢
10-15	4%	—	5.5¢
25-30	3%	—	5.2¢
15-20	2%	—	3.2¢
30+	<1%	—	0.2¢

54%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Posts and calls about this event

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