Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

The market resolves based on the number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz on any single day by September 30.

Polymarket$63 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
10+	50%	—	59¢
30+	3%	—	3.3¢
20+	11%	—	11¢
40+	3%	—	5.1¢
50+	3%	—	4.7¢

50%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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