Polymarket· Oil · Iran · Trump · Hormuz

Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?

Chance

Buy Yes

4.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share