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PolymarketPolymarket· Oil · Iran · Trump · Hormuz

Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?

Chance

44%

Buy Yes

52¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

64¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 10 hours agoSold Yes at 40¢$40
  • 13 hours agoBought No at 47¢$10
  • 20 hours agoSold Yes at 53¢$3
  • 2 days agoBought No at 41¢$15
  • 2 days agoSold No at 40¢$8
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 59¢$41
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 60¢$12
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 59¢$11
  • 2 days agoSold No at 42.1¢$8
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 57¢$23