
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
Whether Friedrich Merz is no longer Chancellor of Germany by a specific date.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 20% | −11¢ | 20¢ | |
| September 30, 2026 | 6% | −29¢ | 6¢ | |
| October 31, 2026 | 13% | −24¢ | 14¢ |
December 31, 2026
20%
−11¢Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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