
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
The market resolves based on the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
- centre for humanitarian dialogue
- committee to protect journalists
- dario amodei
- doctors without borders
- donald trump
- elon musk
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 3% | −1¢ | 3¢ | |
| Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| UNRWA | 4% | — | 5¢ | |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 9% | — | 10¢ | |
| Minneapolis | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Save the Children | 10% | — | 10¢ | |
| Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Elon Musk | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Shehbaz Sharif | 5% | — | 6.8¢ | |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| International Court of Justice (ICJ) | 4% | — | 5¢ | |
| Sara Al-Saqqa | 4% | — | 7¢ | |
| Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | 4% | — | 7¢ | |
| International Criminal Court | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Mark Carney | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Narges Mohammadi | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Francesca Albanese | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Pope Leo XIV | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Dario Amodei | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| European Union | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Sam Altman | 1% | — | 1¢ |
Donald Trump
3%
−1¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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