KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves to the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican candidate in the US House election for Kentucky's 4th congressional district.
Polymarket$20 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 25-30% | 24% | — | 25.8¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 18% | — | 23.1¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 13% | — | 14.6¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 11% | — | 19¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican 5-15% | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 5% | — | 9.3¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 5% | — | 9.5¢ | |
| Republican 45%+ | 4% | — | 6.3¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 3% | — | 6¢ |
Republican 25-30%
24%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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