Fed decision in Dec 2026?
This market resolves based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December 2026.
Kalshi$19.8K traded 24hEnds Dec 9, 2026Unusual trading51 trades in 15 minutes, versus about 1 normally ($7,330 traded).Unusual trading88 trades in 15 minutes, versus about 1 normally ($3,885 traded).
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 25bps | 70% | +8¢ | 70¢ | |
| Fed maintains rate | 30% | −2¢ | 32¢ | |
| Hike >25bps | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | |
| Cut 25bps | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | |
| Cut >25bps | 1% | — | 1¢ |
Hike 25bps
70%
+8¢Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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