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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Chance

76%

Buy Yes

76¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

25¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Dec 9, 6:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 37 seconds agoBought no at 25¢$15
  • 1 minute agoSold yes at 75¢$884
  • 1 minute agoSold yes at 75¢$161
  • 1 minute agoSold yes at 75¢$8
  • 1 minute agoSold yes at 76¢$1
  • 3 minutes agoSold yes at 76¢$98
  • 4 minutes agoSold yes at 75¢$126
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 25¢$7
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 25¢$56
  • 5 minutes agoSold yes at 75¢$119
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.