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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

The market resolves based on the number of Democratic US Senators who lose their reelection bids in 2026.

KalshiKalshi$7.9K traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
Exactly 091%+2¢91¢
Exactly 14%−5¢
Exactly 23%3.1¢
Exactly 32%−2¢2.2¢
Exactly 42%−1¢2.2¢
5 or more2%−2¢2.1¢

Exactly 0

91%

+2¢

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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