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2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?D-House, D-SenatePoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202754%+3¢Kalshi54¢$192.1K
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?Democratic PartyPoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202755%+1¢Kalshi55¢$62.2K
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 20264%Kalshi4.3¢$47.7K
New Hampshire Senate winner?Chris PappasPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202782%−1¢Kalshi82¢$45.4K
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & CollinsBoth losePoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202766%+22¢Kalshi68¢$27.1K
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats SweepPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202659%+3¢Polymarket59¢$21.2K
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 50PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 20279%−24¢Kalshi11¢$20.7K
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202728%+1¢Kalshi28¢$16.7K
Blue wave in 2026?PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202780%+4¢Kalshi80¢$12.3K
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 50CryptoEnds Dec 31, 20268%−71¢Polymarket$11.4K
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?50PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202716%Kalshi16¢$10.2K
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?Exactly 0PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202691%+2¢Kalshi91¢$7.9K
Ohio Senate winner?Sherrod BrownPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202755%Kalshi55¢$6.2K
Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy JacksonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202746%+1¢Kalshi46¢$5.6K
Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D)Politics62%Polymarket62¢$5.6K
Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D)Politics56%+1¢Polymarket57¢$5.2K
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?October 31CryptoEnds Oct 31, 202610%−34¢Polymarket10¢$4.7K
Blue tsunami in 2026?PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202743%+1¢Kalshi43¢$1.9K
Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary PeltolaPoliticsEnds Nov 2, 202666%Polymarket66¢$1.2K
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202757%−3¢Kalshi58¢$1K
Iowa Senate margin of victoryHinson, 4+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202733%Kalshi35¢$853
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)Below 53PoliticsEnds Feb 1, 202775%Kalshi75¢$775
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?47–49 and 193–207PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202633%Polymarket38.7¢$668
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsEnds Jan 2, 202714%Polymarket14¢$604
Arkansas Senate winner?Tom CottonPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202793%Kalshi93.5¢$439
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?5 or morePoliticsEnds Dec 31, 202656%Kalshi58¢$422
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)Mary PeltolaPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202767%Kalshi67¢$392
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?Before Nov 3, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 31, 202612%Kalshi13¢$358
New Hampshire Governor-Senate comboRepublican Governor, Democratic SenatorPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202776%Kalshi76¢$288
Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout2M-2.2MPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202643%Polymarket46¢$250
Closest Senate race in 2026?TexasPoliticsEnds Jan 2, 202714%Kalshi15¢$230
Kansas Senate margin of victoryMarshall, 9+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202731%Kalshi32¢$226
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?Before 11PM Nov 3PoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202611%Kalshi14¢$216
When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?Before Oct 1, 2026PoliticsEnds Aug 1, 20264%Kalshi$197
Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 380KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202760%Kalshi63¢$193
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?Thom TillisPoliticsEnds Jan 1, 202851%Kalshi54¢$182
Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 250KPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202712%Kalshi13¢$166
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?John ThunePoliticsEnds Jan 3, 202847%Kalshi50¢$157
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?September 30PoliticsEnds Sep 30, 20261%Polymarket1.9¢$149
Arkansas Senate margin of victoryCotton, 14+ ptsPoliticsEnds Nov 3, 202774%Kalshi75¢$120