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us senate
40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $513.2K traded today.
politics
us politics
us elections
senate elections
democratic party
republican party
elections
voter turnout
alaska
election results
georgia
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24h
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Volume 24h
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
·
Politics
·
Ends Feb 1, 2027
54%
+3¢
54¢
$192.1K
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party
·
Politics
·
Ends Feb 1, 2027
55%
+1¢
55¢
$62.2K
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2026
4%
0¢
4.3¢
$47.7K
New Hampshire Senate winner?
Chris Pappas
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
82%
−1¢
82¢
$45.4K
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins
Both lose
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
66%
+22¢
68¢
$27.1K
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 2, 2026
59%
+3¢
59¢
$21.2K
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 50
·
Politics
·
Ends Jan 1, 2027
9%
−24¢
11¢
$20.7K
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 52
·
Politics
·
Ends Feb 1, 2027
28%
+1¢
28¢
$16.7K
Blue wave in 2026?
Politics
·
Ends Feb 1, 2027
80%
+4¢
80¢
$12.3K
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 50
·
Crypto
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
8%
−71¢
9¢
$11.4K
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
50
·
Politics
·
Ends Feb 1, 2027
16%
—
16¢
$10.2K
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Exactly 0
·
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
91%
+2¢
91¢
$7.9K
Ohio Senate winner?
Sherrod Brown
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
55%
0¢
55¢
$6.2K
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
James Talarico and Troy Jackson
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
46%
+1¢
46¢
$5.6K
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
·
Politics
62%
—
62¢
$5.6K
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
·
Politics
56%
+1¢
57¢
$5.2K
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?
October 31
·
Crypto
·
Ends Oct 31, 2026
10%
−34¢
10¢
$4.7K
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Politics
·
Ends Feb 1, 2027
43%
+1¢
43¢
$1.9K
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 2, 2026
66%
0¢
66¢
$1.2K
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
57%
−3¢
58¢
$1K
Iowa Senate margin of victory
Hinson, 4+ pts
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
33%
—
35¢
$853
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Below 53
·
Politics
·
Ends Feb 1, 2027
75%
—
75¢
$775
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
47–49 and 193–207
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2026
33%
—
38.7¢
$668
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Politics
·
Ends Jan 2, 2027
14%
—
14¢
$604
Arkansas Senate winner?
Tom Cotton
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
93%
—
93.5¢
$439
How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
5 or more
·
Politics
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
56%
—
58¢
$422
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Mary Peltola
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
67%
—
67¢
$392
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?
Before Nov 3, 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Aug 31, 2026
12%
—
13¢
$358
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
76%
—
76¢
$288
Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout
2M-2.2M
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2026
43%
—
46¢
$250
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Texas
·
Politics
·
Ends Jan 2, 2027
14%
—
15¢
$230
Kansas Senate margin of victory
Marshall, 9+ pts
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
31%
—
32¢
$226
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
Before 11PM Nov 3
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2026
11%
—
14¢
$216
When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?
Before Oct 1, 2026
·
Politics
·
Ends Aug 1, 2026
4%
—
6¢
$197
Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 380K
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
60%
—
63¢
$193
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?
Thom Tillis
·
Politics
·
Ends Jan 1, 2028
51%
—
54¢
$182
Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
12%
—
13¢
$166
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
John Thune
·
Politics
·
Ends Jan 3, 2028
47%
—
50¢
$157
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?
September 30
·
Politics
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
1%
—
1.9¢
$149
Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Cotton, 14+ pts
·
Politics
·
Ends Nov 3, 2027
74%
—
75¢
$120
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