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Closest Senate race in 2026?

The market resolves based on which state has the closest United States Senate race in 2026.

KalshiKalshi$195 traded 24hEnds Jan 2, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
Texas14%15¢
Iowa13%13¢
Ohio11%11¢
Michigan10%9.9¢
Alaska9%9.1¢
Nebraska8%
Maine8%
Kansas6%
South Carolina5%
New Hampshire4%4.2¢
Idaho3%
Minnesota2%1.6¢
Montana2%
Florida2%
Georgia1%1.8¢
South Dakota1%
North Carolina1%1.1¢

Texas

14%

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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