How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

The market resolves based on the number of seats held by Republicans in the US Senate and House after the midterm elections.

Polymarket$671 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
47–49 and 193–207	32%	—	38.4¢
≤46 and ≤192	16%	—	16.9¢
≤46 and 193–207	15%	—	20.9¢
50–52 and 193–207	12%	—	12.2¢
50–52 and 208–222	12%	—	11.9¢
47–49 and ≤192	11%	—	11.3¢
47–49 and ≥208	7%	—	8.4¢
50–52 and ≤192	4%	—	6.5¢
≥53 and ≥223	2%	—	3.9¢
≥53 and 208–222	2%	—	2.8¢
≥53 and ≤207	1%	—	1.6¢
50–52 and ≥223	1%	—	1¢
≤46 and ≥208	<1%	—	0.8¢

32%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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