AfD margin of victory in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

This market resolves based on the Alternative for Germany's margin of victory in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election.

Kalshi$501 traded 24hEnds Sep 20, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
AfD, ≥3%	66%	—	66¢
AfD, ≥6%	37%	—	38¢
AfD, ≥9%	10%	—	10¢
AfD, ≥12%	7%	—	7¢
AfD, ≥15%	4%	—	4¢

66%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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