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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

The market resolves to the Federal Reserve's target interest rate at the end of 2026.

PolymarketPolymarket$2.1K traded 24hEnds Dec 8, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
4.25%37%—42¢
4.0%37%—48.8¢
≥ 4.5%12%—16.9¢
3.75%6%—6.6¢
3.5%3%—3.4¢
2.25%1%—1.7¢
2.75%1%—1.6¢
1.5%1%—1.4¢
3.25%1%—1¢
≤1.0%<1%—0.5¢
1.25<1%—0.6¢
2.5%<1%—0.6¢
1.75%<1%—0.4¢
2.0%<1%—0.4¢
3.0%<1%—0.4¢

4.25%

37%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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