10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
The market resolves based on the 10-year minus 2-year treasury yield spread at the end of 2026.
KalshiEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -30bps | 90% | — | — | |
| Above -20bps | 88% | — | — | |
| Above 0bps | 85% | — | 94¢ | |
| Above -10bps | 82% | — | — | |
| Above 10bps | 79% | — | 87¢ | |
| Above 20bps | 77% | — | 85¢ | |
| Above 30bps | 71% | — | 74¢ | |
| Above 40bps | 56% | — | 58¢ | |
| Above 50bps | 23% | — | 30¢ | |
| Above 60bps | 20% | — | 29¢ | |
| Above 70bps | 18% | — | 27¢ |
Above -30bps
90%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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