Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
The market resolves based on which listed individual announces a departure from California in 2026.
Kalshi$205 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Zuckerberg | 30% | — | 32¢ | |
| Jensen Huang | 5% | — | 8.8¢ | |
| Peter Thiel | 81% | — | 84¢ | |
| Larry Page | 49% | — | 50¢ | |
| Chamath Palihapitiya | 12% | — | 16¢ | |
| Marc Andreessen | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Palmer Luckey | 7% | — | 11¢ |
Mark Zuckerberg
30%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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