Kalshi· Politics

Will Chamath Palihapitiya announce they're leaving California?

Chance

12%

Buy Yes

16¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

92.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 40 seconds ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If Chamath Palihapitiya announces they're moving away from California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must indicate an intent to change primary residence, not temporary travel or maintaining multiple residences.