Kalshi· Politics

Will Peter Thiel announce they're leaving California?

Chance

81%

Buy Yes

84¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

22¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If Peter Thiel announces they're moving away from California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must indicate an intent to change primary residence, not temporary travel or maintaining multiple residences.