When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

The market resolves based on the date of a merger between Tesla and SpaceX.

Kalshi$32.8K traded 24hEnds Jul 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Before Nov 1, 2026	9%	−2¢	10¢
Before 2028	77%	—	77¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	3%	—	3¢
Before May 1, 2027	57%	—	60¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	30%	—	31¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	43%	—	45¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	21%	—	23¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	20%	—	20¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	14%	—	15¢
Before Aug 1, 2026	—	—	—
Before Sep 1, 2026	—	—	—

−2¢

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

Posts and calls about this event

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