Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h |  Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prime Day | 86% | — | 90¢ | |
| Third Party Seller | 58% | — | 61¢ | |
| Bedrock | 95% | — | 95¢ | |
| Trainium | 91% | — | 94¢ | |
| Anthropic / Claude | 88% | — | 90¢ | |
| Tariff | 88% | — | 92¢ | |
| Alexa+ / Alexa Plus | 87% | — | 89¢ | |
| Live Sports | 86% | — | 90¢ | |
| Robotic / Robotics | 86% | — | 90¢ | |
| Graviton | 86% | — | 90¢ | |
| Gen AI / Generative AI | 81% | — | 85¢ | |
| NVIDIA | 81% | — | 85¢ | |
| OpenAI | 76% | — | 80¢ | |
| Supply Chain | 71% | — | 75¢ | |
| Continuum | 66% | — | 70¢ | |
| Sponsored Products | 66% | — | 70¢ | |
| Snowflake | 46% | — | 50¢ | |
| 36% | — | 40¢ | ||
| China | 31% | — | 35¢ | |
| Iran / Middle East | 30% | — | 31¢ | |
| Drone | 16% | — | 20¢ | |
| Layoff / Job Cuts | 13% | — | 17¢ |
Prime Day
86%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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