Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
The market resolves based on whether the Food and Drug Administration approves cytisinicline for smoking cessation by a specified date.
Kalshi$20 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | — | 18¢ | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 45% | — | 46¢ | |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4% | — | 7¢ |
Before Jan 1, 2027
14%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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