What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

The market resolves based on what Kevin Warsh says during his October press conference.

Kalshi$835 traded 24hEnds Oct 29, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Projection	67%	—	70¢
Anchor / Anchored	66%	—	82¢
Geopolitical	48%	—	52¢
Inflation Expectation	61%	—	64¢
Oil	58%	—	62¢
Good Day	90%	—	91¢
Central Bank	90%	—	91¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence	90%	—	91¢
Productivity	87%	—	91¢
Shock	87%	—	91¢
Uncertainty	85%	—	89¢
Restrictive	83%	—	88¢
Credit	74%	—	79¢
Independent / Independence	70%	—	75¢
President	58%	—	63¢
Balance Sheet	52%	—	56¢
Family Fight / Family Feud	39%	—	43¢
Dollar	35%	—	40¢
Unchanged	35%	—	39¢
Commodity	30%	—	35¢
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas	27%	—	32¢
Pandemic	25%	—	29¢
Risk Management	19%	—	23¢
Iran	15%	—	20¢
Volatility	11%	—	15¢
QE / Quantitative Easing	10%	—	15¢
QT / Quantitative Tightening	10%	—	15¢
Dissent	9%	—	14¢
Softening	8%	—	13¢
Diesel	8%	—	12¢
Probability	8%	—	12¢
Recession	7%	—	12¢
Shutdown / Shut Down	7%	—	12¢
Crypto / Cryptocurrency	6%	—	9¢
Japan / Japanese / Yen	6%	—	10¢
Renovation	6%	—	10¢
Tax	6%	—	10¢
Egg	5%	—	9¢
Event does not qualify	5%	—	9¢
Stagflation	5%	—	9¢
Trump	5%	—	9¢
Bitcoin	5%	—	7¢
Consumer Confidence	5%	—	8¢
Good Afternoon	5%	—	8¢
National Debt	5%	—	8¢
ADP	4%	—	7¢
Gold	4%	—	7¢

67%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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