
France’s government budget balance in 2026
This market resolves based on France's government budget balance as a percentage of GDP in 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -6.5% of GDP | 97% | — | 98¢ | |
| Above -6.0% of GDP | 92% | — | 95¢ | |
| Above -5.5% of GDP | 79% | — | 83¢ | |
| Above -5.0% of GDP | 24% | — | 27¢ | |
| Above -4.5% of GDP | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Above -3.5% of GDP | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above -4.0% of GDP | 3% | — | 4¢ |
Above -6.5% of GDP
97%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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