
United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
The market resolves based on the United Kingdom's government budget balance as a percentage of GDP in 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -5.5% of GDP | 92% | — | 93¢ | |
| Above -5.0% of GDP | 82% | — | 83¢ | |
| Above -4.5% of GDP | 70% | — | 72¢ | |
| Above -4.0% of GDP | 30% | — | 31¢ | |
| Above -3.5% of GDP | 22% | — | 24¢ | |
| Above -2.5% of GDP | 3% | — | 5¢ | |
| Above -3.0% of GDP | 3% | — | 5¢ |
Above -5.5% of GDP
92%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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