
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026
Italy's government budget balance as a percentage of GDP in 2026 decides the outcome.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -4.5% of GDP | 95% | — | 99¢ | |
| Above -4.0% of GDP | 93% | — | 97¢ | |
| Above -3.5% of GDP | 88% | — | 92¢ | |
| Above -3.0% of GDP | 66% | — | 70¢ | |
| Above -2.5% of GDP | 21% | — | 25¢ | |
| Above -2.0% of GDP | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Above -1.5% of GDP | 3% | — | 4¢ |
Above -4.5% of GDP
95%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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