
Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12, 2026
The number of initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12, 2026, determines the outcome.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 205,000 | 42% | — | 43¢ | |
| At least 200,000 | 71% | — | 73¢ | |
| At least 210,000 | 20% | — | 21¢ | |
| At least 190,000 | 88% | — | 91¢ | |
| At least 185,000 | 96% | — | 98¢ | |
| At least 215,000 | 9% | — | 10¢ | |
| At least 220,000 | 3% | — | 5¢ | |
| At least 195,000 | 78% | — | 79¢ | |
| At least 225,000 | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| At least 230,000 | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| At least 235,000 | 2% | — | 2¢ |
At least 205,000
42%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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