
2026 Nobel Physics winner?
This market resolves to the individual who is awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexei Kitaev | 25% | — | 28¢ | |
| John Preskill | 22% | — | 25¢ | |
| Charles Kane | 21% | — | 25¢ | |
| Yves Meyer | 18% | — | 22¢ | |
| Allan MacDonald | 17% | — | 20¢ | |
| Eugene Mele | 16% | — | 19¢ | |
| Peter Shor | 15% | — | 19¢ | |
| Yakir Aharonov | 10% | — | 14¢ | |
| John Pendry | 10% | — | 14¢ | |
| Pablo Jarillo-Herrero | 10% | — | 13¢ | |
| Ewine van Dishoeck | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Michael Berry | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Stéphane Mallat | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Federico Capasso | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Simon White | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Rafi Bistritzer | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Carlos Frenk | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| David Charbonneau | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Ingrid Daubechies | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Jainendra Jain | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| James Eisenstein | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Marc Davis | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Sara Seager | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Moty Heiblum | 8% | — | 12¢ |
Alexei Kitaev
25%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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