
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
The market resolves based on which energy source has the largest share of global primary energy consumption in 2030.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil | 64% | — | 65¢ | |
| Coal | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Gas | 8% | — | 9¢ | |
| Nuclear | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Other renewables | 3% | — | 4¢ | |
| Solar | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Traditional biomass | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Modern biofuels | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Hydropower | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Wind | 2% | — | 3¢ |
Oil
64%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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