Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?
The market resolves based on which companies are added to the S&P 500 index in Q3.
Kalshi$78 traded 24hEnds Aug 14, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoFi | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| CoreWeave | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| SpaceX | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Snowflake | 9% | — | 9¢ | |
| BWX Technologies | 7% | — | 7¢ | |
| Venture Global | 7% | — | 7¢ | |
| Affirm Holdings | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Cerebras | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Circle Internet Group | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Curtiss-Wright Corporation | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Guidewire Software | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Roblox | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Talen Energy | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Toast | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Cloudflare | 4% | — | 4¢ | |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals | 3% | — | 5¢ | |
| Duolingo | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Casey's General Stores | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Strategy (MicroStrategy) | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Bloom Energy | — | — | — | |
| Pure Storage | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — |
SoFi
4%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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