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When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000?

The market resolves based on when the S&P 500 Index first closes above $8,000.

KalshiKalshi$390 traded 24hEnds Sep 1, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
Before Oct 1, 20267%
Before Nov 1, 202637%38¢
Before Mar 1, 202761%63¢
Before Feb 1, 202747%49¢
Before Jan 1, 202747%47¢
Before Dec 1, 202639%40¢
Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

7%

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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