
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000?
The market resolves based on when the S&P 500 Index first closes above $8,000.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 37% | — | 38¢ | |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 61% | — | 63¢ | |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 47% | — | 49¢ | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 47% | — | 47¢ | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 39% | — | 40¢ | |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
Before Oct 1, 2026
7%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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