How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

This market resolves based on the total number of rocket launches conducted by SpaceX in 2026.

Kalshi$202 traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Above 150	13%	—	13¢
Above 160	6%	—	6¢
Above 140	75%	—	76¢
Above 145	46%	—	47¢
Above 170	5%	—	5¢
Above 120	98%	—	98¢
Above 180	4%	—	4¢
Above 190	4%	—	4¢
Above 200	4%	—	4¢
Above 210	2%	—	2¢

13%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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