
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
The market resolves based on whether SpaceX successfully lands anything on Mars before 2030.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 21% | — | 23¢ |
Before 2030
21%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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