How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

The number of Starship launches that successfully reach space in 2026 determines the outcome.

KalshiEnds Jan 1, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Kalshi
Above 3	89%	—	91¢
Above 4	56%	—	58¢
Above 5	3%	—	4¢
Above 11	3%	—	4¢
Above 12	2%	—	3¢
Above 7	2%	—	3¢
Above 8	2%	—	3¢
Above 9	2%	—	3¢
Above 10	2%	—	2¢
Above 6	2%	—	2¢

89%

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Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

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