US unemployment rate at year-end 2026
The US unemployment rate at year-end 2026 determines the outcome.
KalshiEnds Jan 8, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | 94% | — | — | |
| Above 3.5% | 94% | — | — | |
| Above 4.0% | 86% | — | 91¢ | |
| Above 4.5% | 30% | — | 33¢ | |
| Above 5.0% | 10% | — | 13¢ | |
| Above 5.5% | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Above 6.0% | 7% | — | 7¢ | |
| Above 6.5% | 7% | — | 7¢ | |
| Above 7.0% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above 7.5% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above 8.0% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above 8.5% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above 9.0% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above 10.0% | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Above 9.5% | 5% | — | 5¢ |
Above 3.0%
94%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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