
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027
The US unemployment rate at year-end 2027 determines the outcome.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | 93% | — | — | |
| Above 3.5% | 90% | — | — | |
| Above 4.0% | 85% | — | 90¢ | |
| Above 4.5% | 75% | — | 80¢ | |
| Above 5.0% | 65% | — | 70¢ | |
| Above 5.5% | 55% | — | 60¢ | |
| Above 6.0% | 45% | — | 50¢ | |
| Above 6.5% | 35% | — | 40¢ | |
| Above 7.0% | 25% | — | 30¢ | |
| Above 7.5% | 15% | — | 20¢ | |
| Above 10.0% | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above 8.0% | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Above 8.5% | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Above 9.0% | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Above 9.5% | 3% | — | 5¢ |
Above 3.0%
93%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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