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US unemployment rate at year-end 2028

The US unemployment rate at year-end 2028 determines the outcome.

KalshiKalshi$15 traded 24hEnds Jan 5, 2029

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hKalshiKalshi
Above 6.0%52%55¢
Above 3.0%90%
Above 3.5%90%95¢
Above 4.0%82%87¢
Above 4.5%75%80¢
Above 5.0%67%72¢
Above 5.5%59%64¢
Above 6.5%44%49¢
Above 7.0%36%41¢
Above 7.5%28%33¢
Above 8.0%21%26¢
Above 8.5%13%18¢
Above 9.0%9%
Above 9.5%8%
Above 10.0%7%

Above 6.0%

52%

Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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