
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028
The US unemployment rate at year-end 2028 determines the outcome.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6.0% | 52% | — | 55¢ | |
| Above 3.0% | 90% | — | — | |
| Above 3.5% | 90% | — | 95¢ | |
| Above 4.0% | 82% | — | 87¢ | |
| Above 4.5% | 75% | — | 80¢ | |
| Above 5.0% | 67% | — | 72¢ | |
| Above 5.5% | 59% | — | 64¢ | |
| Above 6.5% | 44% | — | 49¢ | |
| Above 7.0% | 36% | — | 41¢ | |
| Above 7.5% | 28% | — | 33¢ | |
| Above 8.0% | 21% | — | 26¢ | |
| Above 8.5% | 13% | — | 18¢ | |
| Above 9.0% | 9% | — | 9¢ | |
| Above 9.5% | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Above 10.0% | 7% | — | 7¢ |
Above 6.0%
52%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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