
US unemployment rate at year-end 2029
The US unemployment rate at year-end 2029 determines the outcome.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | 93% | — | 98¢ | |
| Above 3.5% | 86% | — | 91¢ | |
| Above 4.0% | 80% | — | 85¢ | |
| Above 4.5% | 74% | — | 79¢ | |
| Above 5.0% | 68% | — | 73¢ | |
| Above 5.5% | 62% | — | 67¢ | |
| Above 6.0% | 56% | — | 61¢ | |
| Above 6.5% | 50% | — | 55¢ | |
| Above 7.0% | 44% | — | 49¢ | |
| Above 7.5% | 38% | — | 43¢ | |
| Above 8.0% | 32% | — | 37¢ | |
| Above 8.5% | 26% | — | 31¢ | |
| Above 9.0% | 20% | — | 25¢ | |
| Above 9.5% | 14% | — | 19¢ | |
| Above 10.0% | 8% | — | 10¢ |
Above 3.0%
93%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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