
US unemployment rate at year-end 2031
The US unemployment rate at year-end 2031 determines the outcome.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | 91% | — | 96¢ | |
| Above 3.5% | 81% | — | 86¢ | |
| Above 4.0% | 76% | — | 81¢ | |
| Above 4.5% | 71% | — | 76¢ | |
| Above 5.0% | 65% | — | 70¢ | |
| Above 5.5% | 60% | — | 65¢ | |
| Above 6.0% | 54% | — | 59¢ | |
| Above 6.5% | 49% | — | 54¢ | |
| Above 7.0% | 44% | — | 49¢ | |
| Above 7.5% | 38% | — | 43¢ | |
| Above 8.0% | 33% | — | 38¢ | |
| Above 8.5% | 27% | — | 32¢ | |
| Above 9.0% | 22% | — | 27¢ | |
| Above 9.5% | 17% | — | 22¢ | |
| Above 10.0% | 9% | — | 11¢ |
Above 3.0%
91%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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