Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h |  Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 49% | — | 50¢ | |
| China | 18% | — | 20¢ | |
| Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay | 18% | — | 19¢ | |
| Australia or New Zealand | 15% | — | 17¢ | |
| France, Belgium or the Netherlands | 11% | — | 13¢ | |
| Brazil, Colombia or Peru | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| Switzerland or Austria | 7% | — | 8¢ | |
| Greece or Turkey | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| United Kingdom or Ireland | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Germany | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Italy | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Cambodia | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Panama or Costa Rica | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Egypt | 2% | — | 2¢ |
USA
49%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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