How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

The market resolves based on the number of SpaceX Starship launches that reach space in 2026.

PolymarketEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
5-6	44%	—	47¢
<5	38%	—	47¢
11-12	2%	—	2.5¢
>16	1%	—	1.9¢
7-8	1%	—	1¢
15-16	<1%	—	0.2¢
9-10	<1%	—	0.2¢
13-14	<1%	—	0.1¢

44%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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