US economic state at the end of 2026?
The market resolves based on the economic state of the US at the end of 2026, defined by unemployment and inflation rates.
Polymarket$2.3K traded 24hEnds Jan 30, 2027Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) | 76% | — | 78¢ | |
| Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) | 24% | — | 26¢ | |
| Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) | <1% | — | 0.5¢ | |
| Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) | <1% | — | 0.4¢ |
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
76%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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