Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

The market resolves based on which company has a #1 AI model by December 31.

Polymarket$262 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
Google	30%	—	30¢
Meituan	3%	—	2.6¢
Meta	11%	—	11¢
xAI	13%	—	13¢
OpenAI	28%	—	28¢
Z.ai	11%	—	11¢
Moonshot	9%	—	9¢
ByteDance	8%	—	8¢
Alibaba	7%	—	8¢
Baidu	7%	—	7¢
DeepSeek	6%	—	6¢
Microsoft	5%	—	5¢
Amazon	3%	—	3.3¢
Mistral	3%	—	2.9¢

30%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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